Week 14: SoCal CIF Bowl Rankings

Posted on November 27, 2012 by

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Senior quarterback Christian Rossi has had the hot hand for Clovis North in the CIF Central Section Division I playoffs. He and his team will go for their first D1 crown Friday against Central of Fresno.

Big changes in D2 South with Chaminade taking over at No. 1. Other new No. 1 is Ontario Christian, but it’s not favored in its section final. With one week to go before CIF selects teams, we have projections and scenarios for every division.

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Open Division: The top 10 teams that would be ranked by CalHiSports.com for the CIF Open Division in Southern California would be:

1. Narbonne (Harbor City); 2. Vista Murrieta (Murrieta); 3. Mater Dei (Santa Ana); 4. Centennial (Corona); 5. Crenshaw (Los Angeles); 6. St. Bonaventure (Ventura); 7. Chaminade (West Hills); 8. Serra (Gardena); 9. Long Beach Poly (Long Beach); 10. Edison (Huntington Beach).

With assistance from Harold Abend and Paul Muyskens, here are the Week 14 rankings for each of Southern California’s CIF bowl game divisions (previous ranking in parentheses; after games of Saturday, Nov. 24):

DIVISION I SOUTH
1. (1) Narbonne (Harbor City) 13-0
2. (2) Vista Murrieta (Murrieta) 13-0
3. (5) Mater Dei (Santa Ana) 11-2
4. (6) Centennial (Corona) 12-1
5. (8) Crenshaw (Los Angeles) 11-1**
6. (4) St. Bonaventure (Ventura) 11-2*
7. (9) Long Beach Poly (Long Beach) 10-3
8. (3) St. John Bosco (Bellflower) 12-1***
9. (10) Mission Viejo 11-1*
10. (11) Santa Margarita (Rancho SM) 9-3*
11. (7) Upland 12-1*
12. (12) Alemany (Mission Hills) 9-3*
13. (13) Notre Dame (Sherman Oaks) 8-4*
14. (14) Oaks Christian (Westlake Village) 8-3*
15. (15) Clovis North (Clovis) 11-1
*Indicates season complete and ineligible for CIF bowl game.
**Does not include default win.
*** Does not include forfeit losses plus season complete, ineligible for bowl game.
Drops: None.
Bubble Teams: Bishop Amat (La Puente) 7-3-1*, Central (Fresno) 11-2, Clovis 9-2*, Chaparral (Temecula) 7-4*, Charter Oak (Covina) 10-2*, Crespi (Encino) 8-2*, Eastlake (Chula Vista) 9-3, Edison (Fresno) 9-4*, El Toro (Lake Forest) 9-2*, Mission Hills (San Marcos) 10-2, Moorpark 8-3*, Murrieta Valley (Murrieta) 10-2*, Rancho Cucamonga 10-3*, Tesoro (Rancho Santa Margarita) 7-4*, Westlake (Westlake Village) 6-5*.
*Indicates season complete.
No. 1 Team Result: Narbonne defeated Carson 39-12 in CIF L.A. City Section Division I semifinals.
Cal-Hi Sports Projected Bowl Game Matchups: Narbonne vs. Vista Murrieta for Open Division; CIFSS Pac-Five winner (Mater Dei or Long Beach Poly) vs. Clovis North (favorite in CIF Central Section Division I final) for Division I.
If Narbonne or Vista Murrieta lose in their section final: Mater Dei could then come up and take one of the Open Division slots if it were to beat Long Beach Poly in the Pac-Five final. This is because both Centennial of Corona (loss to St. Bonaventure) and Crenshaw (loss to Westlake) have lost to Pac-Five opponents. If Narbonne loses to Crenshaw and Mater Dei wins, however, Crenshaw can point to the common opponent criteria since Narbonne has a win over the Monarchs.
If Narbonne or Vista Murrieta lose and Long Beach Poly wins: In this situation, it doesn’t look like the Jackrabbits can come up into the Open Division. Their overall resume would probably put them behind either Crenshaw or Corona Centennial.
If Clovis North loses in its section final: Mission Hills of San Diego (if it beats Eastlake of Chula Vista in San Diego D1 final) then would seem to be in a stronger position than Central of Fresno to grab the final SoCal Division I bid.
Don’t be stunned if: A 12-2 team from Mater Dei gets voted into the Open Division ahead of a 14-0 Vista Murrieta. Last year, it was mentioned by CIFSS officials that Santa Margarita (which was 12-2) was chosen in front of Vista Murrieta for a bowl game not because of Vista Murrieta’s five forfeit losses (team was 14-0 on the field) but due to Santa Margarita’s strength of schedule.

DIVISION II SOUTH
1. (3) Chaminade (West Hills) 12-1
2. (5) Serra (Gardena) 11-2
3. (2) Edison (Huntington Beach) 12-1
4. (1) Oceanside 11-1
5. (7) Citrus Hill (Perris) 13-0
6. (8) Serrano (Phelan) 13-0
7. (NR) Villa Park 12-1
8. (10) La Serna (Whittier) 12-1
9. (15) Poway 10-2
10. (4) Lompoc 12-1*
11. (13) Garces (Bakersfield) 11-1
12. (6) Tustin 12-1*
13. (14) Palos Verdes (PV Estates) 10-3
14. (11) Carter (Rialto) 12-1*
15. (NR) Kaiser (Fontana) 12-1
*Indicates season complete, ineligible for CIF bowl game.
Drops: Previous No. 9 Helix (La Mesa) lost to Poway 21-7; No. 12 Olympian (Chula Vista) lost to Lincoln (San Diego) 20-7.
Bubble Teams: Cathedral (Los Angeles) 10-3*, Downey 10-3, Foothill (Tustin) 10-3*, Helix (La Mesa) 9-2**, Lincoln (San Diego) 8-4, Olympian (Chula Vista) 11-1*, Rancho Verde (Moreno Valley) 10-3, Sanger 10-2, Valencia 9-4*, West (Torrance) 10-3.
*Season complete, ineligible for CIF bowl game.
**Win by forfeit not included plus season complete, ineligible for bowl game.
No. 1 Result: Chaminade defeated Cathedral (Los Angeles) 45-7 in CIF Southern Section Western Division semifinals.
Cal-Hi Sports Projected Bowl Game Matchup: CIF Western Division champion (Chaminade or Serra of Gardena) vs. Edison of Huntington Beach (if it beats Villa Park for CIF Southwest Division title).
If Edison loses to Villa Park: Although the Spartans would then have a win over the only team they’ve lost to, they wouldn’t seem to have a strong enough resume to win in a vote over Oceanside (if the Pirates win against Poway in the CIF San Diego Section D2 final).
If either 13-0 Citrus Hill or 13-0 Serrano win by a large margin in their game: That would be a surprise in the CIFSS Eastern Division final, but if it’s Serrano and Paraclete (which has lost only to Serrano) also wins in the CIFSS Mid-Valley Division then the Diamondbacks would have to get consideration at 14-0. They’d still probably need Oceanside and Edison to lose, though, for serious consideration.
Don’t be stunned if: Oceanside gets voted in over Edison even if both teams win out. It seems as though the voting CIF section commissioners can be swayed by familiarity with certain teams getting onto the board over and over again. If it’s between those two teams for the second spot opposite the Chaminade-Serra winner, it’s going to be a good debate.

DIVISION III SOUTH
1. (1) Paraclete (Lancaster) 12-1
2. (2) St. Augustine (San Diego) 10-2*
3. (3) Monrovia 11-2
4. (4) Wasco 12-0
5. (5) Madison (San Diego) 11-1
6. (NR) North (Torrance) 11-2
7. (6) Nordhoff (Ojai) 12-1
8. (NR) Rim of the World (Lake Arrowhead) 11-2
9. (NR) Corona del Mar (Newport Beach) 10-3*
10. (NR) Garden Grove 11-2
*Forfeit win not included.
Drops: Previous No. 7 Laguna Beach lost to Garden Grove 35-21; No. 8 San Dimas lost to Paraclete (Lancaster) 28-20; No. 9 Mission Oak (Tulare) lost to Bakersfield Christian 7-0; No. 10 Brawley lost to Madison (San Diego) 35-18.
Bubble Teams: Banning 11-2*, Brawley 10-2*, Jurupa Hills (Fontana) 8-4*, Laguna Beach 11-1-1*, Mission Oak (Tulare) 9-3*, San Dimas 11-2*, San Marino 10-2**, Salesian (Los Angeles) 11-2*, Valley Center 7-5*.
*Indicates season complete and ineligible for CIF bowl game.
**Indicates forfeit loss not included plus season complete, ineligible for bowl game.
No. 1 Team Result: Paraclete defeated San Dimas 28-20 in CIF Southern Section Mid-Valley Division semifinals.
Cal-Hi Sports Projected Bowl Game Matchup: CIF Southern Section Mid-Valley Division winner (Paraclete or Monrovia) vs. CIF San Diego Section Division IV winner (St. Augustine or Madison).
If Wasco wins in its section final 49-0: That would happen to be the same score by which the Tigers beat Bakersfield Christian (their opponent this week) earlier in the season. The team’s lack of a quality opponent for the entire season may end up costing it a bowl bid.
Don’t be stunned if: Wasco gets a bid regardless of its schedule. The team could end up being the only other CIF Central Section team besides Clovis North to get a bowl game and it also would be the only unbeaten team on the board for this division.
Why These Rankings: Paraclete’s lone loss is to Serrano of Phelan and that would look even better if Serrano ended 14-0 and Paraclete gets a win over Monrovia. Monrovia has lost by just one point to larger school Ayala of Chino Hills and by three to larger school South Hills and has wins over San Dimas, San Marino and defending D4 state champ Sierra Canyon. St. Augustine’s two on-field losses were to Cathedral Catholic (later changed to forfeit win) and larger school Otay Ranch. The Saints also have a win over San Diego Lincoln (which just knocked off unbeaten Otay Ranch in SD D3 playoffs). As for Madison, which is the same team last lost to Escalon in the D3 state bowl game in 2010, its only loss is to Valhalla of El Cajon (which just lost by 31-28 to Oceanside). That’s why we think Madison can get a berth with a win over St. Augustine.

DIVISION IV SOUTH
1. (3) Ontario Christian 13-0
2. (1) Bishop Diego (Santa Barbara) 12-1*
3. (2) Sierra Canyon (Chatsworth) 11-2*
4. (4) Mission Prep (San Luis Obispo) 11-1
5. (5) Rio Hondo Prep (Arcadia) 11-1
6. (6) Santa Fe Christian (Solana Beach) 9-3
7. (7) Francis Parker (San Diego) 8-4
8. (10) Bakersfield Christian 10-2
9. (NR) St. Margaret’s (SJ Capistrano) 10-2*
10. (8) Horizon (San Diego) 8-4*
*Indicates season complete, ineligible for CIF bowl game.
Drops: Previous No. 9 Christian (El Cajon) lost to Francis Parker 27-24.
Bubble Teams: Boron 10-2*, Calipatria 9-3*, Christian (El Cajon) 8-4*, Flintridge Prep (La Canada) 6-5*, La Jolla Country Day (La Jolla) 7-4*, Windward (Los Angeles) 5-4*.
*Indicates season complete, ineligible for bowl game.
*Win by forfeit not included
No. 1 Team Result: Ontario Christian defeated Jurupa Hills (Fontana) 34-33 in overtime in CIF Southern Section East Valley Division semifinals.
Cal-Hi Sports Projected Bowl Game Matchup: Ontario Christian (if it were to win CIFSS East Valley title) vs. CIFSS Northeast Division champion (Mission Prep or Rio Hondo Prep).
If Ontario Christian loses in its section final: Although the Knights are 13-0, it does look like they’re going to be the underdogs to D3 South ranked Rim of the World in its last game. Rim is led by Jacob Taylor, the state’s leading rusher, and is coming in after a 69-20 romp past Banning (a team the Fighting Scots lost to earlier). Rim wouldn’t be D4 for the bowl games due to its enrollment and a loss by Ontario Christian would open it up for other D4 enrollment schools.
If Santa Fe Christian loses in its section final: With Bishop Diego (has win over Mission Prep) and defending D4 state champ Sierra Canyon already knocked out from bowl eligibility, the next team in line would be the CIF San Diego Section D5 champion. Santa Fe Christian already has a 35-17 win over Parker and would need to beat the Lancers again. If Parker wins and Ontario Christian loses, it would then simply move up to take SFC’s spot because at that point the list of eligible teams is down to a precious few.

Comments or questions? Email markjtennis@gmail.com.